Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3.1% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 92 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.4% on 4 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6.9% on 5 Sep 2026. $1.13K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 11:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 3.1% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.32K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 556.58 |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f. | Yes | 150 |
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by NASCAR to determine the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship based on the rules of NASCAR (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NASCAR.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nascar-cup-series-2026-champion-20260722193936777
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
| crckr | Yes | 59.6 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 49.04 |
| kitty07 | Yes | 45 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 44.44 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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