Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 28 Aug 2026 and the low 10.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 21% on 29 Aug 2026. $6.78K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 28 Aug 2026 – 16 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 48.0% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.05K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 1.04K |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 288 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-september-fed-meeting
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 149 |
| Clumsy-Patriarch | Yes | 66.63 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 40 |
| capib | Yes | 10 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
