Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 20% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 13 Jun 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 9 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 6.3% on 21 May 2026. $9.7K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 9:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 13 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 20.0% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.44K |
| morilun | Yes | 2.84K |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 1.1K |
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff
| Yes |
| 172.41 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 116.89 |
| SomethingOld | Yes | 100.05 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 69.91 |
| BKno95 | Yes | 42.98 |
| Unfortunate-Particle | Yes | 34.67 |
| Colala | Yes | 31.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
