Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 14 points from 17% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
The high was 21.5% on 28 Jan 2026 and the low 1.9% on 26 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.4%; a month ago, 5.1%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 19.4% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?”.
$1.17K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.84K, with a 3.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $23.95 bought Yes and $310.63 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impassioned-Reception with 100 shares; the largest No position is BetterFish with 223. Ten wallets hold 89.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Jan 2027, 90 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 9:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 292 points · 13 Dec 2025 – 6 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 17.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BetterFish | No | 222.64 |
| Impassioned-Reception | Yes | 99.99 |
| Xui.pa | Yes | 70 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026
| Viewbot |
| No |
| 56.6 |
| AJSV | Yes | 55.82 |
| lug | No | 54.7 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 49.99 |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright | Yes | 43.22 |
| masnjr | No | 42.84 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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