Analytics
Yes is at 6.6%, down 12 points from 18.5% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
Across the 294 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 19 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.9% on 3 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 4.8%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 49.6% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?”.
$791.68 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.19K, with a 8.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $13.74 bought Yes and $256.64 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 47 shares; the largest No position is mombil with 72. Ten wallets hold 87.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 294 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 18.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 6.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mombil | No | 71.93 |
| 20to1k | No | 47.47 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 47.02 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026
| explorer221 |
| No |
| 45.36 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 45.34 |
| Sweltering-Expectation | No | 42.57 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 40 |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright | Yes | 35.67 |
| xbriansumner | Yes | 32.83 |
| Xixihaha008 | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
