Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 168.67 | $0.148 | $12.14 | -$12.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.887 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 62.35 |
| $0.321 |
| $11.53 |
| -$8.47 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.916 | $9.7 | +$0.54 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.950 | $9.56 | +$0.06 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.100 | $4.85 | -$5.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $0.42 | -$4.58 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 68.78 | $0.054 | $0.1 | -$3.65 |
| sell |
| 38.46 |
| $0.021 |
| $0.81 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.850 | $10.36 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 206.31 | $0.110 | $22.76 | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.916 | $9.16 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 275.09 | $0.055 | $15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 12.43 | $0.405 | $5.03 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.840 | $5.59 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.44 | $0.402 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.35 | $0.321 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.300 | $3.85 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 168.67 | $0.148 | $25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 13.08 | $0.682 | $8.92 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 13.91 | $0.360 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 13.09 | $0.382 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 120.83 | $0.120 | $14.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 102.04 | $0.046 | $4.69 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |