Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 3 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 25% on 24 Oct 2026.
37.5–37.9 ranks third of the 6 outcomes in “Trump approval rating on October 30?”. 38.5–38.9 leads at 35.5%; 38.0–38.4 is at 34.5%.
$293 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.8K since listing. The order book holds $987.09, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $105.21 bought Yes and $579.39 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 372 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 552. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 551.93 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 371.71 |
| Prize-Jar | No | 110 |
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026. This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-30
| johnyjo | Yes | 100 |
| conherence | No | 87.81 |
| Ornate-Tailbud | Yes | 82 |
| PPMT | Yes | 60 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 58 |
| Specialist200303 | Yes | 47.34 |
| HyperboreanBryanCaplanFan | Yes | 46.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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