What is the “Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 20 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Donald Trump wins the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 8.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in Florida for the 2024 U.S.…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

125 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 21, 12:58 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-win-florida-by-8-points) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?

Market referencewill-trump-win-florida-by-8-pointsUpdated Nov 21, 2024 UTC

politicsResolved

Yes · settled Nov 20, 2024 UTCrabiospolitics

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$4.7M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 20, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 21, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 21, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

125

Wallets

125

Top 10 share

80%

Yes / No shares

336.79 / 233.8K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

316

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
quant69	No	47.51K	18.5%	$232.53K
willyduer	No	43.1K	35.6%	$43.1K

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Trump and the White House oddsWill Trump be impeached?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 20 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes” if Donald Trump wins the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 8.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in Florida for the 2024 U.S.…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

quant69

47.51K

18.5%

$232.53K

willyduer

43.1K

35.6%

$43.1K

Trader	Current holding value
exhuman666	$129.23
picoyoda	$121.57
reval	$49.02
sh1ro	$20.51
polysms	$5
VK6ADA	$4.62
PolymarketApp	$2.63
Hateful-Container	$2.63
Anthems	$1.58
quant69	$0
willyduer	$0
kungfutofu1	$0