Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | Jun 28, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.22 |
| $0.820 |
| $1 |
| Jun 28, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 8.82 | $0.996 | $8.78 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8.83 | $0.997 | $8.8 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.987 | $1.59 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.988 | $1.6 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 2.42 | $0.973 | $2.35 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.976 | $2.3 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Ripple ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.250 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Ripple above $2.20 on December 27?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.350 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.230 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.019 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Abstract token launch by January 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Ripple above $2.20 on December 27?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.420 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.720 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.987 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.530 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.740 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.910 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Solana above $225 on December 20?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.710 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Sonic launch before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.983 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.890 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.510 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.340 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight NightAnsem | buy | 0.03 | $0.360 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.810 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will $cult launch in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.623 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?Yes | buy | 0.21 | $0.047 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.540 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Ripple above $1.46 on November 29?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 SOLETH hit 0.08 by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.740 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.999 | $0.01 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.910 | $0.03 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.990 | $0.03 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Sonic launch before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 $POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.870 | $0.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Coinbase #1 finance app on Friday?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.819 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.950 | $0.03 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.998 | $0.03 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.900 | $0.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.920 | $0.03 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.994 | $0.02 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.580 | $0.01 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.750 | $0.02 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.994 | $0.01 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Nov 1, 2024 |