Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?

cultureResolved

No, settled Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Topic room2026 US Midterms Trump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 40.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 59.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 59.5% on 21 Oct 2026. $1.68K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 1:53 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
LARPAZ	Yes	100
aerotynecapital	Yes	99.29
.Menthe	Yes	50

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina on October 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-greenville-north-carolina-president-donald-j-trump-djtnc) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in North Carolina on October 20, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf