Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70%. Yes opened at 30% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 17 Dec 2025, the price held at 30%. $2.39K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 30.0% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 63483 | Yes | 134.92 |
| S888 | Yes | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| badatthis | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Hanukkah Reception" in Washington on December 16, 2025, 8:15PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in a Hanukkah Reception" on December 16, 2025, 8:15PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zgDBhxc4fo&embeds_referring_euri=https%3A%2F%2Fkalshi.com%2F&source_ve_path=MjM4NTE
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
