Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$29.3K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 15, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 14% on 13 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 14% on 13 Jul 2025. $29.34K traded over the market's life.

65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 12:38 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 15 Jul 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Jul 2025	51.5%
15 Jul 2025	19.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Thin-Membrane	Yes	1.2K
fn7	Yes	473.97
Petew	Yes	399.17

10 of 65 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is expected to deliver a speech at the Energy and Innovation Summit scheduled for July 15 at the Carnegie Mellon campus. You can read more about that here: https://www.cmu.edu/student-affairs/messages-from-the-dean/pa-energy-and-innovation-summit.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's scheduled main appearance at the "Energy and Innovation Summit" event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 15 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.