Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2025.
$5.63K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 16 Oct 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gypsyzeek | Yes | 658.1 |
| Easy-Going-Volcano | Yes | 513.67 |
| manbehindmask | Yes | 100 |
| Poleverything | Yes | 100 |
| zcashbet | Yes | 100 |
| pillusch | Yes | 90.91 |
| MarcosCardoso | Yes | 18.18 |
| 0xJas | Yes | 11.76 |
| legendjerry | Yes | 10.55 |
| hfhau | Yes | 9.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to host a ballroom dinner on October 15, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President hosts a Ballroom Dinner" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-ballroom-dinner-on-october-15
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