Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 73% on 9 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2026 to 10 Mar 2026, the highest close was 73% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 72 points down, to 1.1% on 10 Mar 2026.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 7:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Mar 2026 – 10 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | 73.0% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| 5atka | Yes | 200 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 99.95 |
| Impure-Shipping | Yes | 62.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference on March 9, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers Remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference" scheduled for March 9, 2026, at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "-No Qualifying Event-". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W9bkyOTCrEg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-to-the-republican-members-issues-conference
| Cosmic Kestrel EC1C | Yes | 52.69 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| qwert12345qwert | Yes | 45.37 |
| QbertRules | Yes | 35 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 29.97 |
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