Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 2.3% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 2.3% on 14 May 2026 and the low 0.9% on 16 May 2026. $128.51K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 5:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 May 2026 – 16 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 2.3% |
| 16 May 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Unruly-Thunderbolt | Yes | 4.46K |
| Blaring-Backdrop | Yes | 2K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1.81K |
| abcasfs12313232 | Yes | 1.63K |
| rgess | Yes | 1.53K |
| SiriusCash | Yes | 1.53K |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 1K |
| Popular-Tandem | Yes | 910.48 |
| aenews67 | Yes | 800 |
| nikitaxce | Yes | 600 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by
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