Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 8.5K | $0.252 | $1.23K | -$912.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.026 | $26 | Aug 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 7.5K |
| $0.161 |
| $247.5 |
| -$962.45 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.140 | $90 | -$190 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.150 |
| $150 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 264.63 | $0.007 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 835.48 | $0.210 | $175.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 387.06 | $0.210 | $81.28 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 258.71 | $0.160 | $41.39 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.270 | $396.85 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.270 | $540 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.330 | $330 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | sell | 999.98 | $0.940 | $939.87 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.095 | $94.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.026 | $26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.610 | $366 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No | buy | 70 | $0.340 | $23.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.895 | $2.68K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.224 | $78.39 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.250 | $87.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.044 | $22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.019 | $7.59 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 123.98 | $0.060 | $7.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12.06 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.061 | $6.16 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.068 | $4.73 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | sell | 385.54 | $0.991 | $382.07 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | sell | 340 | $0.010 | $3.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.960 | $1.08K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.059 | $59 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.044 | $44 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.109 | $109 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.089 | $89 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.024 | $24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.087 | $87 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.161 | $161 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.341 | $340.59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 810.81 | $0.370 | $300 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.052 | $51.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.093 | $186.33 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.450 | $270 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.580 | $197.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.125 | $124.64 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Jun 11, 2026 |