Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 7% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 25 Jan 2025, the highest close was 7% on 24 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 25 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points down, to 0.8% on 25 Jan 2025. $53.26K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 6:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 25 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 7.0% |
| 25 Jan 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ElonMusk69 | Yes | 525.3 |
| fasster | Yes | 25 |
| beavergold | No | 6.49 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 22, Sam Altman posted the following tweet: https://x.com/sama/status/1882234406662000833 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump posts about Sam Altman from either his X/Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) or (@POTUS) or his Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) between January 22, 8:30 PM and January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order for this market to resolve to "Yes" the post must be explicitly about Sam Altman. Any use of his name, reply/quote of the tweet, or other explicit reference to Sam Altman will qualify. All top level, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts will not count. General comments about Stargate which do not directly reference Altman will NOT qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be Donald Trump's verified X/Twitter account (https://x.com//realdonaldtrump) and (https://x.com/POTUS) and and his official Truth Social account (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump). Only the listed accounts count for this market, regardless of the URL for the profiles. If Donald Trump posts from any other account, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-post-about-sam-altman-by-friday
| RobXK | No | 0.03 |
| Mikiya | No | 0.02 |
| dsfsdfasdas | No | 0.02 |
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