Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 197 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11% on 21 Jun 2025. $165.55K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 197 points, 20 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lucky77 | Yes | 769 |
| wizardofalt | Yes | 170 |
| lineth | Yes | 167.33 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 151.21 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 149.94 |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 118.97 |
| bigbrainUser | Yes | 100 |
| Ksaich-Pack1 | Yes | 99.97 |
| kamarat | Yes | 99.97 |
| scherlockhomes | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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