Analytics
Yes is at 90.5%, up 9 points from 81.5% when the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
Across the 17 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 81.5% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 93%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 90% on 12 Oct 2026.
$1.65K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.61K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $562.33 bought Yes and $41.49 bought No.
The largest Yes position is polyweatheryuan with 181 shares; the largest No position is Gaditima with 94. Ten wallets hold 83% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 81.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 90.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| polyweatheryuan | Yes | 181 |
| Gaditima | No | 93.88 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 65.83 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. meets with Donald Trump between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Marcos and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-meet-with-marcos-by-december-31-2026
| Insecure-Statement |
| Yes |
| 60 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 59.29 |
| Ideal-Arch | Yes | 50 |
| Michael5289 | Yes | 50 |
| dsoperative | Yes | 50 |
| Em-S-Ki | No | 50 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 42.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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