Analytics
Yes is at 41.5%, down 3 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
$16.56K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $19.2K since listing. The order book holds $41.84K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 264 trades, $2.92K bought Yes and $5.31K bought No.
The largest Yes position is willsom with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is zxdfbdfgngcxv with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 60.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 38%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 41.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | No | 1.87K |
| buoys | No | 1.34K |
| tetrase | No | 1.06K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-meet-with-flavio-bolsonaro-in-2026
| willsom |
| Yes |
| 999.99 |
| Barkshire-Hathaway | Yes | 999 |
| a.weidel | Yes | 812.13 |
| rabbit007 | No | 656.21 |
| lissartter | Yes | 573.16 |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 476 |
| smellyEllie | No | 390.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
