- What is the “Will Trump launch a blockchain before July?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trump launch a blockchain before July? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Jun 30, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a blockchain by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only blockchain projects that are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from his official social media channels or otherwise confirmed by public statements, will qualify. The resolution source will official statements from Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($7K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who holds the biggest positions in this market?