Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 123 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 29% on 1 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 27 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 29% on 1 Jul 2025. $7K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 123 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 484.56 |
| potujnich | Yes | 285.71 |
| viaya | Yes | 42.86 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a blockchain by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only blockchain projects that are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from his official social media channels or otherwise confirmed by public statements, will qualify. The resolution source will official statements from Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-launch-a-blockchain
| Yes |
| 40.68 |
| 5775maimia | Yes | 37.5 |
| ChuckySpooner | Yes | 12.95 |
| PD99 | Yes | 12.5 |
| QMG-CORE | No | 0.04 |
| trump.slonic | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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