Will Trump issue an executive order on March 14?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$53.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 15, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 15 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87.1%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 13 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2025 to 15 Mar 2025, the highest close was 87.1% on 15 Mar 2025 and the lowest 41% on 14 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 87.1% on 15 Mar 2025. $53.48K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 4:59 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Mar 2025 – 15 Mar 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Mar 2025	48.5%
15 Mar 2025	87.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
KKzzz	No	166.81
BenMajor27	No	69.79
TCforShort	No	10.02
joy31	Yes	1.03

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No” In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).