Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 23% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 148 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 1 Apr 2026, the highest close was 84.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 58% on 29 Jan 2026. $232.83K traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 23.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mr.grandmother | Yes | 5.62K |
| nennou | Yes | 5.07K |
| ACara | Yes | 620.53 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-issue-a-gold-card-by-march-31
| idk.. | Yes | 451.47 |
| Kom | No | 400 |
| Keen Oracle 60E1 | Yes | 167.22 |
| cheese283 | Yes | 154.84 |
| catchitifyoucan | Yes | 142.86 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 89.45 |
| kylmcv | Yes | 80.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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