Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 28 Jan 2025, the highest close was 19.5% on 8 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 6.5% on 9 Jan 2025. $6.92K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 28 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 19.5% |
| 28 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quantomaton | Yes | 20.62 |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 13 |
| puri7ENd | No | 0.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the United Kingdom by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-in-first-week
| No |
| 0.85 |
| r3pt1loid | No | 0.47 |
| Rasalgethi | No | 0.09 |
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