Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 52% on 20 Jan 2025 and the low 0.5% on 28 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 13% on 21 Jan 2025. $30.32K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 9:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 8 Jan 2025 – 28 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 40.0% |
| 28 Jan 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Song04 | Yes | 77.23 |
| diosnegro | Yes | 15.63 |
| uuyyy | Yes | 0.12 |
| vveranddnis | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on Mexico by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-in-first-week
| Newshound | No | 0.01 |
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