Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2025 to 3 Apr 2025, the highest close was 70.5% on 18 Mar 2025 and the lowest 8% on 3 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 8% on 3 Apr 2025. $76.57K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 7:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 3 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 22.5% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.01K |
| heuer | Yes | 904.29 |
| Andischmandie | Yes | 800 |
This market will resolve according to the size of the first general tariff enacted by the Trump administration on imports into the United States from the European Union (EU). If the Trump administration does not impose a general tariff on the EU by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the European Unions is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-large-will-trump-eu-tariffs-be
| Yes |
| 36.13 |
| Kalinko | Yes | 16.67 |
| OldAdler | Yes | 2.78 |
| QQQ9000 | No | 0.03 |
| Newshound | Yes | 0.02 |
| smartmoney.no.smart.no.money | No | 0.02 |
| bignickck | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
