Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 61% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 61% on 15 Jun 2026. $1.73K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 12:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bustling-Cartoon | No | 142.86 |
| Nexuus | No | 25 |
| Keen Scout EB71 | No | 22.22 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump hugs anyone during the UFC Freedom 250 event currently scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The UFC Freedom 250 event extends from the beginning of the first match until the end of the final match. Hugs before or after the event will not be considered. This market may resolve once the final match of the UFC Freedom 250 event concludes. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-hug-anyone-at-ufc-freedom-250-20260609183108883
| Submissive-Naturalisation | No | 18.52 |
| erFiodena | No | 13.39 |
| Yukaii | No | 12 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 10 |
| CryptoPregamePoly | No | 9.26 |
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