Will Trump dance during UFC 327?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.5K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 14, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 11 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Apr 2026 to 13 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 11 Apr 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 13 Apr 2026. $4.53K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 9:38 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Apr 2026 – 13 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–50%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Apr 2026	38.5%
13 Apr 2026	15.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Astonishing-Tachometer	Yes	42.44
lolomgggty	Yes	30.55
p3eFbv0H3b	Yes	30
bjprolo	Yes	30

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to attend UFC 327 in Miami on April 11, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2026/04/10/trump-attending-ufc-327-miami/89538401007/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during UFC 327 on April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.