Will Trump cut aid to Jordan or Egypt before March?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$156.3K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 25% on 12 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 25% on 12 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 5.5% on 15 Feb 2025. $156.3K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 5:28 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 12 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Feb 2025	25.0%
1 Mar 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
nahhh	Yes	569.19
Vladimir333	Yes	83.33
Victor123456789	Yes	37.04

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On February 10, President Trump said he would consider withholding aid to Jordan and Egypt if they do not agree to take in Palestinians as part of a plan for the U.S. to take over and develop the Gaza Strip (see: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5137309-trump-jordan-egypt-aid/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration takes any action blocking, eliminating, or reducing foreign aid (including military) to Jordan or Egypt between February 10 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.