Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 15 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2024 to 16 Jul 2024, the highest close was 46.5% on 15 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 16 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 0.5% on 16 Jul 2024. $1.29K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 6:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Jul 2024 – 16 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2024 | 46.5% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rokku | Yes | 7.83 |
| fireponbabylon | Yes | 0.04 |
| dipsybitsy | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump announces his pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States on July 16, 2024, between 12:00 AM CT, and 11:59 PM CT (Milwaukee time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president. The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-announce-vp-pick-on-tuesday
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