Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.93 | $0.970 | $0.9 | Nov 7, 2024 |
|
| sell |
| 899.81 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.9 |
| Sep 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.581 | $1.5K | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 899.8 | $0.561 | $504.79 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 O’Malley vs. DvalishviliO’Malley | buy | 79.67 | $0.512 | $40.75 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 62.68 | $0.650 | $40.74 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.69 | $0.770 | $48.27 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Illegal immigrant" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 48.28 | $0.580 | $28 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 21.29 | $0.700 | $14.9 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 18.72 | $0.540 | $10.11 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 July meeting?Yes | buy | 977.91 | $0.927 | $906.38 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No | sell | 1.28K | $0.706 | $906.38 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.796 | $1K | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No | buy | 27.01 | $0.780 | $21.07 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night?Yes | buy | 69.04 | $0.830 | $57.3 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Iran behind attempt on Trump?Yes | sell | 2.32K | $0.025 | $57.3 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Fact Check: Iran behind attempt on Trump?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.025 | $58.79 | Jul 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 37.15 | $0.770 | $28.61 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 154.23 | $0.880 | $135.72 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 48 | $0.870 | $41.76 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 236.08 | $0.847 | $200 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce VP pick on Tuesday?No | buy | 60 | $0.780 | $46.8 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 70.56 | $0.850 | $60 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 448.83 | $0.891 | $400 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 573.6 | $0.872 | $500 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Biden drops out by July 12?No | buy | 2.23K | $0.700 | $1.56K | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Biden drops out by July 12?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.670 | $0.7 | Jul 5, 2024 |
 Biden drops out by July 4?No | buy | 5.57K | $0.957 | $5.33K | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?No | buy | 0.07 | $0.950 | $0.07 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Will Austria win Group D?Yes | buy | 24.93 | $0.988 | $24.63 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Austria win Group D?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.012 | $24.63 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Austria win Group D?Yes | buy | 2.43 | $0.988 | $2.4 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Austria win Group D?No | sell | 200 | $0.012 | $2.4 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Will Slovenia win Group C?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.953 | $1.05K | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Slovenia win Group C?No | buy | 1K | $0.951 | $951.14 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 132.77 | $0.880 | $116.84 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 217.57 | $0.890 | $193.64 | Jun 23, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Jun 23, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 100 | $0.949 | $94.9 | Jun 23, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 142 | $0.959 | $136.22 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Will Czechia win?No | buy | 32.11 | $0.779 | $25 | Jun 22, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 14.05 | $0.910 | $12.79 | Jun 22, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 142.05 | $0.910 | $129.27 | Jun 22, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine win Group E?No | buy | 343.89 | $0.910 | $312.94 | Jun 22, 2024 |
| Will Austria win Group D?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Jun 22, 2024 |
 Is $DJT real?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.014 | $19.66 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?No | buy | 116.96 | $0.839 | $98.13 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Will Serbia win Group C?No | buy | 920.25 | $0.978 | $900 | Jun 19, 2024 |