Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 201 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 11.2% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Jun 2025. $1.21M traded over the market's life.
281 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2024 | 2.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 33.36K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 6.94K |
| Belated-Feeding | Yes | 3.34K |
Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026 (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump announces Arthur Laffer as his pick for Federal Reserve Chair by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will, resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair-before-july
| Tt357 | Yes | 2.84K |
| Gallo | Yes | 1.93K |
| My121x | Yes | 1.71K |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 999.99 |
| seasidejdjd | Yes | 700 |
| HcWPpUbwhh | Yes | 424.56 |
| Fridrihos | Yes | 326 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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