Analytics
Yes is at 28.5%, down 16 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 65 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26%; a month before, 37%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 45.5% on 24 Sep 2026.
2.65M-2.8M is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout”, ahead of 2.5M-2.65M at 21%.
$74.42 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.15K since listing. The order book holds $26.95K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 135 trades, $616.34 bought Yes and $967.59 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 402 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 872. Ten wallets hold 98.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 871.72 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 402.16 |
| jikolep | Yes | 387 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-senate-election-turnout
| EsperanzasDESTROYER |
| Yes |
| 375 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 275.81 |
| DontCryMontreal | Yes | 200.01 |
| K80PRO | No | 162.38 |
| Offensive-Diary-Acre | No | 29.48 |
| AMAM13 | No | 21 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 14.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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