Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 21 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 245 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2024 to 20 Nov 2024, the highest close was 81.8% on 30 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 46% on 4 Aug 2024. $82.06K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 21, 2:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 245 points, 21 Mar 2024 – 20 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2024 | 59.5% |
| 20 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.24K |
| rousseauuu | Yes | 1.01K |
| kfjkfyj7vu | Yes | 639.65 |
This is a market on predicting the number of SpaceX Starship launches that successfully reach space in the year 2024.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| GHammeR | Yes | 303.03 |
| cosnil | Yes | 169.52 |
| shinguang | Yes | 119.8 |
| QueenClo | Yes | 71.79 |
| lyszhang | Yes | 50 |
| Sweltering-Elver | Yes | 35.97 |
| Malte | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
