Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?Yes | buy | 223.62 | $0.312 | $69.77 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 119.1 |
| $0.720 |
| $85.75 |
| Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.980 | $32.66 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.038 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.069 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 103.67 | $0.029 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?Yes | buy | 123.91 | $0.024 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 120.96 | $0.025 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.068 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 200-224 times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 70.94 | $0.042 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 175-199 times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.018 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Drake be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.008 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will another movie gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?Yes | buy | 92.65 | $0.032 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 88.43 | $0.034 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.031 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.028 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.910 | $2.97 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.035 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.044 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes | buy | 134.87 | $0.022 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.965 | $2.97 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.031 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.043 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 892.85 | $0.008 | $7.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.112 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 165.13 | $0.612 | $101.06 | Nov 1, 2024 |