Analytics
Trading ended on 7 Oct 2026 with Yes at 49%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 37 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49%; a month before, 50%.
It is one of 4 markets under “Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price”.
$96.9 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is flexer78 with 50 shares; the largest No position is Hot-Skull with 97.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 12:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 18 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hot-Skull | No | 96.83 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 50 |
| before2027 | Yes | 41.9 |
Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the final "Lot Sold" price as reported in USD. If the final “Lot Sold” price is reported by Sotheby’s in a different currency, this market will resolve according to the USD value of the sale at the time of final sale. The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/contemporary-curated-3).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thomas-red-mums-display-sale-price
| bjprolo |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| big-bird1 | No | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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