Analytics
Yes is at 16.7%, down 22 points from 39% when the market opened on 21 Feb 2026.
Across the 234 daily closes on record from 21 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 39% on 21 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.3%; a month before, 9.4%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 5% on 2 May 2026.
130m+ ranks second of the 11 outcomes in “2026 Midterms: House Turnout”. 115-120m leads at 28.5%; 120-125m is at 16%.
$212.9 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.66K since listing. The order book holds $14.25K, with a 3.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 173 trades, $170.87 bought Yes and $938.63 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 403 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 838. Ten wallets hold 92.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 234 points, 21 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | 39.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 16.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 837.51 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 403.19 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | Yes | 248.17 |
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-midterms-house-turnout
| thursdays | No | 196.99 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 132.48 |
| algo168 | Yes | 130 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 86.75 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 40.01 |
| Adalovelace | Yes | 36.43 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 28.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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