Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 39 points from 50% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 50% on 16 Oct 2026.
4+ ranks fourth of the 4 outcomes in “How many Pentakills will there be at Worlds 2026?”. 1+ leads at 55.5%; 2+ is at 25.5%.
$171.88 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $127.2, with a 21.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Maximus374 with 100 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 100.
Trading closes on 15 Dec 2026, 51 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 1:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Maximus374 | Yes | 100 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 100 |
| feecenter | No | 56 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total number of pentakills recorded across all official games of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, is greater than or equal to the number specified in the market title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A pentakill is a single player killing all five players on the opposing team in quick succession, as announced by the game client ("PENTAKILL") and recorded in the official game statistics. Every completed official game of the tournament counts (Play-In, Swiss Stage, and Knockout Stage). Pentakills in games that are remade, abandoned, or not completed do not count. If Worlds 2026 is canceled or postponed such that it has not concluded by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of pentakills recorded in completed official games as of that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the tournament statistics on Leaguepedia (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship); however, official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com) and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-pentakills-will-there-be-at-worlds-2026
| Numitus1994 |
| Yes |
| 51 |
| waardenn | Yes | 5.88 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Yes | 5 |
| Carabao | No | 5 |
| prizr | No | 0.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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