Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 20?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 21 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9% on 19 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 83 points up, to 99.6% on 21 Mar 2026.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 2:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Mar 2026	43.5%
21 Mar 2026	99.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
TENETENET	No	499.98
0xRocket666	No	200
5atka	No	166.39
88mnm88	No	150

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).