Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 28, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 28 Jul 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 26 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 47.5% on 28 Jul 2026. $1.55K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 12:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jul 2026	24.5%
28 Jul 2026	47.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
.Menthe	Yes	50
monoclith	Yes	26
International-Denominator	Yes	6.67
bjprolo	Yes	5

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).