Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 5 Aug 2026, the highest close was 56.5% on 2 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 5 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 12% on 3 Aug 2026. $8.42K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 2.77K |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 133 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 132.51 |
| lightshield | Yes | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Resolution source: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-august-3-august-8-20260730202018839
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 42 |
| wahoowahoo | Yes | 27.03 |
| J25525 | Yes | 21.96 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
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