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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.750 | $259.5 | +$34.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 158.68 | $0.330 | $52.36 | 19d ago |
 |
| No |
| 300 |
| $0.820 |
| $247.5 |
| +$1.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 300 | $0.690 | $223.5 | +$16.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 300 | $0.700 | $169.5 | -$40.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 300 | $0.430 | $166.5 | +$37.5 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.450 | $163.5 | +$28.5 |
 Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | No | 300 | $0.460 | $148.5 | +$10.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300.01 | $0.320 | $130.5 | +$34.5 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 900 | $0.170 | $121.5 | -$31.5 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | No | 120 | $0.870 | $118.2 | +$13.8 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | No | 120 | $0.690 | $114.24 | +$31.44 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 120 | $0.740 | $112.2 | +$23.4 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | No | 120 | $0.400 | $112.2 | +$64.2 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 170.9 | $0.670 | $110.23 | -$4.27 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.590 | $106.8 | +$36 |
 Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | Yes | 265 | $0.500 | $92.75 | -$39.75 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 246.35 | $0.420 | $88.69 | -$14.78 |
 Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year? | No | 109.44 | $0.750 | $76.06 | -$6.02 |
 Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 120 | $0.540 | $55.2 | -$9.6 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 120 | $0.540 | $54 | -$10.8 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 300 | $0.130 | $46.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will Josh Allen have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 120 | $0.740 | $44.4 | -$44.4 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.210 | $43.5 | -$19.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.260 | $43.5 | -$34.5 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 300 | $0.140 | $29.85 | -$12.15 |
| sell |
| 120 |
| $0.790 |
| $94.8 |
| 25d ago |
 Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.690 | $82.8 | 25d ago |
 Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.740 | $88.8 | 25d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 119.97 | $0.270 | $32.39 | 25d ago |
 Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 120 | $0.690 | $82.8 | 25d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 264.7 | $0.830 | $219.7 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.959 | $287.7 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.180 | $54 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | sell | 114.19 | $0.420 | $47.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 266.31 | $0.100 | $26.63 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 10 | $0.405 | $4.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.600 | $72 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 142.44 | $0.840 | $119.65 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No | sell | 87 | $0.999 | $86.91 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.320 | $2.37 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 12.36 | $0.870 | $10.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?No | sell | 30.05 | $0.260 | $7.81 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 267 | $0.720 | $192.24 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4?No | sell | 289.65 | $0.999 | $289.36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?No | sell | 98.73 | $0.270 | $26.66 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.500 | $104.17 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 3?No | sell | 44.5 | $0.999 | $44.46 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?No | sell | 71.95 | $0.920 | $66.18 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 1?No | sell | 118.27 | $0.999 | $118.15 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1?No | sell | 119.99 | $0.999 | $119.87 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.999 | $119.88 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 27?No | sell | 70 | $0.950 | $66.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?Yes | sell | 106.13 | $0.569 | $60.4 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?No | sell | 120 | $0.990 | $118.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?No | sell | 38.6 | $0.703 | $27.12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |