Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 46% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 96 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 37.5% on 12 Sep 2026. $1.89K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 46.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 2.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-senate-pass-at-least-20-billion-in-supplemental-war-funding-by-september-30-20260626210022880
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| ScottsRoad | Yes | 11.76 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| nikita227 | No | 1.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
