Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.85 |
| $0.540 |
| $1.84 |
| +$0.84 |
 Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate? | No | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
| buy |
| 2.33 |
| $0.430 |
| $1 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?No | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.493 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?No | buy | 20.65 | $0.030 | $0.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.008 | $0.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Haiti elections delayed again?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will North West release an album by December 31?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.999 | $2.7 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.170 | $0.93 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |