Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 28 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 12% on 1 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 6% on 3 Mar 2025. $21.86K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 5:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 28 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArthurGreen | Yes | 534.28 |
| Alipjev | Yes | 315.19 |
| boldbriefgone | Yes | 301.28 |
| Appioppo99 | Yes | 289.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against the United Kingdom between February 20 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against UK citizens or entities which do not directly target the UK state or members of the UK government will not qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on the UK within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-sanction-uk-before-april
| SHABUN85 | Yes | 103 |
| pumpadumpa | Yes | 71.43 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 14.88 |
| bnawpeo4t8u09sope | No | 0.09 |
| javonalfie5648 | Yes | 0.02 |
| bistrogons | No | 0.02 |
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