Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 74% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 22 Oct 2025, the highest close was 98.4% on 22 Oct 2025 and the lowest 74% on 10 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 74.5% on 29 Jul 2025. $41K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 23, 9:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 22 Oct 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 74.0% |
| 22 Oct 2025 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ILikeChickenDinner | No | 1.53K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.17K |
| Forthright-Armpit | No | 854.86 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-this-year
| No |
| 219 |
| Meyernaise | No | 110.44 |
| S888 | No | 95 |
| HunchexBot | No | 31.18 |
| Wrtz | No | 19.06 |
| jaya2 | No | 15 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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