Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 70 and 80?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 13, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 13 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.9%. Yes opened at 76.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 95.9% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 74.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 92.5% on 10 Mar 2026.

24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 3:44 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 70%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Mar 2026	76.5%
12 Mar 2026	95.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.52K
0xRocket666	No	199.99
vredina	No	142.85
bjprolo	No	120

10 of 24 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.