Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 16% on 8 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2025 to 4 Apr 2025, the highest close was 43.5% on 4 Apr 2025 and the lowest 16% on 8 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 28.5% on 9 Mar 2025. $48.75K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 12:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Mar 2025 – 4 Apr 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | 16.0% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.29K |
| johninv | Yes | 100.16 |
| azadam | Yes | 98.71 |
| AiBird | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March, scheduled to be released on April 4, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-march-2025
| SuARas | No | 0.02 |
| ksquare | No | 0.01 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
| aidentika | No | 0.01 |
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