Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in March?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 3, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.5K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 3, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 21% on 30 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 22.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $2.49K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 12:38 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026, chart shows 15%–45%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Mar 2026	34.5%
2 Apr 2026	24.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
DanGabriel	Yes	516.45
TENETENET	Yes	500
Indigo Signal 2966	No	430.33
cry.eth2	Yes	150

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm